tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7743530438680774250.post6655162138727851486..comments2023-11-02T05:04:59.172-04:00Comments on Third Base Politics: Analyzing the 8/1 Quinny poll: Dems oversampled, great news for Kasich.Nick (aka Bytor)http://www.blogger.com/profile/15826772166599084105noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7743530438680774250.post-38058256392004546442012-08-06T20:32:42.030-04:002012-08-06T20:32:42.030-04:00No, you didn't put any qualifier by it at all....No, you didn't put any qualifier by it at all. <br />Link: http://bit.ly/Reoe5g<br /><br /><i>John Kasich's talking head-ness at Fox News tells you what to expect from him as a candidate. Promises and platitudes, but not serious plans or the ability to lead.<br /><br />Kasich will raise alot of money. And he'll lose by at least twenty points. Strickland hasn't been one to toot his own horns. The campaign will, unfortunately, need to do some public education as to what Strickland has done the last three years as a result. But despite that, he's got strong job approval numbers that suggest no Republican candidate can be a credible threat.<br /><br />And John Kasich has never given a "fiery" speech in his life. He's bland, boring, and predictable.<br /><br />This race is going to be painful to follow. John Kasich couldn't even carry his old Congressional District now.</i><br /><br />Some BRILLIANT prognostication there, Modern. And you're talking about how qualified I am to analyze a poll? (Larry Sabato agrees with me on the sample, by the way.)<br /><br /><i>And he'll lose by at least twenty points.</i><br /><br />LOL!!!!!!Nick (aka Bytor)https://www.blogger.com/profile/15826772166599084105noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7743530438680774250.post-86484405275096580602012-08-04T17:16:47.391-04:002012-08-04T17:16:47.391-04:00You keep bringing up something I wrote in 2009 whi...You keep bringing up something I wrote in 2009 which was with the specifical qualifier, that unless things subsantially changed, Strickland would win. Things obviously changed since I wrote that in March 2009, which I had acknowledged over and over again.<br /><br />So you keep bringing up a "prediction" that I never maintained. Congratulations. It just proves that you don't know what you're talking about.Modern Esquirenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7743530438680774250.post-66711438529702410592012-08-02T20:15:36.801-04:002012-08-02T20:15:36.801-04:00Gee, Modern, thanks for the intelligent comments. ...Gee, Modern, thanks for the intelligent comments. I really take seriously criticisms about my polling analysis from a guy who predicted a 20+ point Strickland victory.Nick (aka Bytor)https://www.blogger.com/profile/15826772166599084105noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7743530438680774250.post-31497413411590582972012-08-02T16:40:00.535-04:002012-08-02T16:40:00.535-04:00this being the all the time great news for kasich ...this being the all the time great news for kasich blog it fits perfectly.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7743530438680774250.post-31644725343897053332012-08-02T15:20:32.445-04:002012-08-02T15:20:32.445-04:00Nothing on the poll on Josh Mandel. Hello? Nick?...Nothing on the poll on Josh Mandel. Hello? Nick? Josh Mandel getting crushed in yet another poll in Ohio?Modern Esquirenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7743530438680774250.post-4823881591857368382012-08-02T15:15:58.663-04:002012-08-02T15:15:58.663-04:00Nick's qualifications to say what an accurate ...Nick's qualifications to say what an accurate sample size would be? None. The reality is that Democratic voters largely outweigh Republican ones. Also, Quinnipiac has a better track record predicting turnout than Nick. Third, every registered voter in Ohio is going to get an early ballot application mailed to them. That's going to increase Democratic turnout.<br /><br />John Kasich's approval rating, while an all-time high is still lower than what Strickland's was. And you can't read too much into one poll particular one that is projecting likely voters in 2012, and not who will vote in 2014.Modern Esquirenoreply@blogger.com