Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Romney Showing Strength, Democrats Showing Desperation

As Obama has seen his lead in numerous swing states erode--and even vanish--the Romney campaign has been looking to expand the map.  Latest news out of the Keystone State has Romney making a major push in Pennsylvania with his latest ad buy:
Mitt Romney’s campaign has bought air time in Pennsylvania, saying in a memo that the Democratic-leaning state now represents an opportunity for the Republican campaign. 
“Pennsylvania presents a unique opportunity for the Romney campaign,” political director Rich Beeson wrote. “Mitt Romney is more competitive in the voter-rich Philadelphia suburbs than any Republican nominee since 1988.”
This is a major move by the Romney campaign.  While Ohio is a traditional swing state, and has garnered much deserved attention this election cycle, Pennsylvania is a center-left state, going Democrat in every presidential election in the last two decades.  A month ago, Pennsylvania was swinging as much as 12% in Obama's favor--now RealClearPolitics has it rated as a toss-up.

Romney's move in to the state shows he sees an opportunity to expand the map, making a show of strength in a play for more than the necessary 270 electoral votes to take the White House.

But that doesn't mean Democrats won't try to spin it their way.

Apparently Obama for America thinks that Romney is searching for other electoral avenues, and that myth is being echoed by none other than that harbinger of doom, Lis Smith.  You know her--she's the one that seems to follow around soon-to-be-failed Democrat politicians until they sink faster than a skydiver at 128,000 feet.  Suffice it to say, if Ms. Smith is touting something, you know Democrats are desperate.

That, and they can't do math.

In addition to the fact that Pennsylvania has swung significantly toward Romney in the past few weeks, absentee data is strongly siding with Romney:

Since Democrats like Ms. Smith seem to struggle with simple math, let's break it down for her.  In 2008, McCain won the absentee battle by just 2%.  Romney's ahead by 19% in absentee voting.  That's a 17% swing, in a state that Obama won by 10% in one of the biggest Democrat wave years in electoral history--the kind of year that Democrats won't enjoy this time around.

That's the kind of shift that presidential campaigns are supposed to notice--the kind of shift that makes you buy ad time to take advantage of the positive momentum.

And Democrats like Ms. Smith know it.  It's their jobs to spin it, cover it up, and twist the facts as much as possible in an effort not to look weak.  To quote our president, they're just assuming the role of bull*****er.

But ultimately it just makes them look desperate.  All while the Romney campaign shows its strength, expands the map, and moves one step closer to taking the Oval Office.

Democrats can have their spin--I'm content with the facts.


  1. Rasmussen has Obama up by 5. The race is essentially where it was back in April.

    Real Clear Politics has had PA as tossup up for awhile. It's not a new rating change, unlike say North Carolina which they recently changed from Leaning Romney to Tossup.

    You can't win PA by putting ads up only in Philly for the last two days of the election. McCain made a similar headfake. It didn't work.

    1. PA wasn't rated a toss-up until Obama's epic failure at the debate was reflected in the polls:


      Maybe the half-truths work on Dem blogs. Here, we stick to the facts.

    2. You're funny.

      You're touting a State (PA) that the polling is even worse for Romney than it is in Ohio, and you want to say you're talking about facts. LOL.

  2. Um, the numbers in PA suggest that only half as many are voting absentee in PA as did in 2008. So, congratulations on an edge that doesn't matter.

    1. So the heavy voting is done, then? I guess no one turns out the last three days before the election...

      I think you need to go consult your talking points again. You're way off message.

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    1. Before we worry about education (which is important) we first have to have an economy & infrastructure that will support JOBS - without jobs, education is useless.

      Education is a solution for dealing with future needs -- first we need to get to the future with an intact country.


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