A poll from Rasmussen yesterday showed Pat Toomey down just a few points to Joe Sestak in the first post-primary poll for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania.
I wouldn't be too worried.
In 2008, President Obama won PA by 11 points. In the exit polls, he was winning Independents by 19.
In the latest Rasmussen poll, Toomey is winning Indies by 9.
Consider the normal GOP advantage in primaries. Combine it with the current conservative wave. Add in Sestak's extremely liberal voting record. And don't forget Toomey's massive financial advantage.
You've got yourself a very tight, but very winnable contest.