Tuesday, July 27, 2010

Three down. Almost.

Larry Sabato says Democrats in the House will lose 32 seats.
Stuart Rothenberg says 28-33.
Charlie Cook says between 30 and 40.

And if the National Journal's new rankings are to be believed, that's very bad news for three Ohio Democrats all within that range of vulnerability.

Yesterday, the NJ released their rankings of the seats most likely to switch hands. And there were some familiar faces:

So if some of the nation's top political prognosticators are to be trusted, these three Democrats are as good as gone.

What's particularly noteworthy is the change in the rankings. Kilroy moved up 10 spots. Driehaus moved up 2. Boccieri wasn't even previously ranked.

That speaks directly to the quality of the GOP challengers.

Rothenberg also recently had some additional bad news for other Ohio Dems. Rep. Betty Sutton was moved up from "Democrat Favored" to "Lean Democrat". That explains the sudden surge in spending by the DCCC in order to protect her seat.

The wave cometh.

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